美国权威杂志《财富》（《Fortune》）于1995年一度预言，回归将令香港死亡。但回归十年后，最新出版的《时代》周刊，终在十三年后为此言论来了个迟来的大平反，不仅承认其姊妹杂志《财富》当年报道错误，更直认香港比从前更有活力。. d6 B* h- k8 P/ \$ K
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最新出版的《时代》周刊，以25页的篇幅探讨回归十年香港的变化，并以“阳光灿烂中见阴霾（Sunshine with Clouds）”为点题。对于《财富》杂志当年惊世的《香港之死》报道，《时代》坦诚认错，承认姊妹杂志完全是“错误地”及“差劣地”作出推测。《时代》解释香港过去十年经历金融风暴、禽流感、SARS、市民为基本法廿三条上街示威等……当世人以为香港贵为福地的气数已尽，香港却一一熬过来。 ?0 @7 g- L' W- t$ d, k
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离回归十周年尚余三个星期，《时代》指出香港近期的股市屡创新高，物业格价亦稳步上扬，正值阳光灿烂时，不过晴空之中却有阴霾：香港前景仍受许多不明朗因素影响。 * y) |- p) D+ p9 P # j& I/ I8 b0 [# `8 r& p; Q# H3 y8 Y July 1, 1997: After 156 years of British rule, China resumes sovereignty over Hong Kong.$ V7 z+ n: ~& ~# x G
+ y* }! |- F! P* i3 ^7 T3 _( U. l / s/ Q2 P* i' Q3 f! ?( EFeb. 19, 2002: Chief Executive Tung Chee-hwa, appointed by Beijing in 1997 to serve as Hong Kong's first post-colonial leader, is reelected." K8 z5 m8 e8 N! {
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4 I8 M5 F( ~; D! | 7 E: l" ?3 c7 S* dMarch 10, 2005: After weeks of rumors, Chief Executive Tung Chee-hwa abruptly resigns, citing his declining health. # ]! M3 u) l z* U7 l. K/ ^/ Y/ ?3 u" t4 d7 h6 G ( [, N! D0 {4 m2 a3 b The Expat Exodus . C7 C* M# X2 `8 U8 E$ }On July 1, 1997, as Hong Kong waved goodbye to its colonial rulers on board the HMS Britannia, pessimists predicted the city's expatriate professionals would follow. ( @+ Z+ R4 J* U5 T' w. z. n
. e9 m4 l0 s+ B0 ?, |6 `; ]) E3 t $ Q- h. h3 i( x5 e/ W0 W 8 s7 Z j x9 M6 d* E Emigration * W S4 r5 X8 iJittery about political crackdowns and economic slowdown, thousands of Hong Kong residents left town in the years before the handover. ' p& n& L) G3 ` d3 Y( S; S& i
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/ X5 D2 f, f3 {3 J' k% p- o: E, ?# G 《时代》分析，香港人仍在身份认同及定位上感到迷失。港人对祖国又敬又怕，进而希望争取民主独立，这种心态却令政策陷于胶着状态。保守派与民主派的对立，造成政治麻痹：上至经济下至污染的议题，双方都不愿妥协。3 l2 X; T5 o1 h0 V
6 z, h6 A: ^( B2 u 《时代》称，港人在争取民主方面的想法过于“实际”。有权投票选行政长官的八百名选委，大部分来自商界，他们普遍认为普选特首会引入平民领导人、令香港变成福利社会；另一方面又怕惹怒中央，影响自身利益。. I* P7 l, |: d. [& A
3 P. \* ^5 A. J作者: 日月光 时间: 2007-6-9 08:41
4 M* C8 D7 R3 r _( tThe People's Liberation Army ! {9 q8 v- K( t% v7 V6 G; b
A 1995 Fortune magazine article famously predicted the "Death of Hong Kong" following the handover, prophesying that PLA soldiers would be a visible, ominous presence on Hong Kong's streets. ! S! u: i5 c0 W
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; Q+ W) d3 m0 | ( d/ z4 F# G* B) tVictoria Park. Queen's Pier. Stanley. While many symbols of British rule vanished overnight after the handover — teams of workmen removed the royal seal from post offices, police stations and institutions like the Royal Hong Kong Jockey Club — Hong Kong's colonial place names endure. 3 b; S; n, {; ]+ Q6 D7 a s1 L9 n1 t: T3 p" h6 f% M. ]0 ^& c
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Milton Friedman, the late Nobel Prize-winning economist, predicted that within two years of the handover China would introduce capital controls and replace the territory's currency. Wrong. , F$ q; k! R- c6 N) ?) {% v8 t: h
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With its black robes and horsehair wigs, Hong Kong's court system is an obvious inheritance from Britain. Little has changed since the handover.9 [( S2 A2 f( u4 S5 e# }, s
# ?# }6 T* V& f J! W # t/ x" s% P" U; ^Hong Kong made itself fabulously wealthy by acting as the lone conduit between China and the world, funneling goods and investment in both directions. 8 D$ I- K% [; P* V7 Z& o; Z- r; V" ]8 u( Z% i6 i6 g9 ]. J& H5 S
- R1 r0 r6 i. {, ^5 V# s b % @) E& @: a6 x- [6 x% Z3 jContrary to dire predictions, Hong Kong hasn't yet lost its economic edge to cheaper cities on the mainland or to cleaner, more orderly Singapore.
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