: W: O" ]% ^6 H$ f& S' X! ?* \4 j 可是日本官方还是以此理论为基础，经常错误提醒民众要预防「东海大地震」，气象厅甚至推动国会于1978年立法，让气象厅的监测仪全天候监测「东海大地震」的先兆。他认为，日本应停用「东海大地震」这字眼、放弃一味只重东海的地震预测系统，承认全日本也有地震风险，而现阶段的科学不足以分辨出哪些地区地震风险较高。" o* A& J, g G# T" j/ P5 ]: H$ g
& V! Q9 _" ~) @" F" b. [0 O 对于日本主流地震专家为何沉默几十年不提出质疑，盖勒认为很多日本专家都被官方以名利「和谐」了，政府也利用「记者俱乐部」制度，令传媒成为其观点的传声筒。另外，当局所搞的地震专家检讨小组，成员往往都是由「面对检讨」的官僚委任。; c5 s3 }/ ?1 f/ B+ T
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本港核子专家胡仲豪表示，这份学术评论由著名科学家编写，经过审查，可信性高，建议日本当局与亚洲各国领袖参考。他特别认同评论中提到，部分国家在预防地震等天灾，所编写的预防制度多由政府官员，欠缺富科学知识的人参与制定，政治因素大于科学理据。& ^/ C( t3 _: ~
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) _; P6 [0 ^5 LRobert J. Geller calls on Japan to stop using flawed methods for long-term forecasts and to scrap its system for trying to predict the 'Tokai earthquake'.2 N2 g( I3 j/ M6 m& Q) q% U
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For the past 20 years or so, some seismologists in Japan have warned of the seismic and tsunami hazards to the safety of nuclear power plants, most notably Katsuhiko Ishibashi, now professor emeritus at Kobe University. Their warnings went unheeded. Yet in the immediate aftermath of the magnitude-9.1 earthquake that struck Tohoku on 11 March, pundits could be found on many Japanese TV stations saying that it was “unforeseeable”. $ M0 R j8 N2 P+ o/ [ s. C& { @9 D* U1 Y0 W
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Emergency drills such as this mislead the public into believing that the Tokai district is due a magnitude-8 quake soon.
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